Claim: Justin Trudeau announces 2021 Canadian federal elections [Maybethemostimportantelectionsince1945[1945年以来最も重要な選挙かもしれません..

verdict: This election is important to Trudeau’s political heritage.

All political leaders, especially heads of government, seem to have the habit of declaring the elections they are fighting for are the most important in recent memory. Immediately after the governor-general agreed to the request to dissolve the parliamentTrudeau goes a step further, and the 2021 election is “Probably the most important of our lives since 1945, and certainly.. Is he right?

The 2021 election is certainly important to Trudeau’s political career. Two years earlier than the required fixed-day election law, and in the midst of a COVID-19 pandemic, Trudeau is betting that voters will give his Liberal Party a majority government. Returning with another minority is interpreted as a failure and can arouse class dissatisfaction.

Leadership change?

Trudeau has been prime minister for nearly six years. If he returns with another minority, his tenure will be comparable to prominent Canadian Prime Ministers such as Robert Borden, Louis St. Laurent and Brian Mulroney. However, the frustrated Liberal Party can be upset by changes in leadership, and his grip on power is constrained by Congress.

If he wins the majority, he will serve at least as long as Stephen Harper and Jean Chrétien. He will oversee the government’s potential transformational period and increase the likelihood of leading the Liberal Party in future elections.

Choice [1945election[1945年の選挙 The comparison with 2021 is curious. 1945, Prime Minister Mackenzie King He called for a stable Liberal Majority Government. Still, voters were futile and reduced the Liberal Party to a minority. King even lost his Saskatchewan seat. The Trudeau Liberal Party probably chose the 1945 campaign as a benchmark because it fits into the story of reconstruction after a major global crisis.

[Since1945therehavebeenscatteredelectionsthathavehadatremendousimpactonCanada’spublicpolicy[1945年以来、カナダの公共政策に甚大な影響を与える選挙が散在しています。1963 election And 1965,saw Lester B. Pearson He presided over the Liberal minority government and entered a period of change.

Universal health care, NS Canadian pension system, Student loan And that Canadian flag The minority government meant that all of this was the result of negotiations with the opposition.

The 1980 election was also extremely important.Because if Pierre Trudeau did not re-form the government after Joe Clark’s curtain was over, the Constitution of Canada would Would not have been patriated in 1982 And we do not have a charter of rights and freedoms. The 1988 free trade election stands out Because it focuses on that peculiar problem. The contest was dominated by whether Canada should enter into a trade agreement with the United States, the predecessor of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

Election stunning person

Election results can overturn the norms of party competition. The 1957 election was astounding.. The Progressive Conservative Party, led by John Diefenbaker, has been absent from the Liberal Party for 22 consecutive years, winning one of Canada’s largest landslides the following year.

Political scientists routinely 1993 election as an earthquake because Two established domestic parties have been replaced in favor of two local parties.. The federal party system became the official opposition with the rise of Bloc Québécois, followed by the growing popularity of the Reform Party in Western Canada, and the rage of PCs and New Democrats collapsed.

To some extent 2008 election A good comparison with the 2021 one. Stephen Harper ignored elections on a fixed date by holding a steep election in the hope of winning a majority. The campaign took place in the midst of a global economic crisis House prices plummeted, stock markets plummeted, and American financial institutions went bankrupt.

Six weeks after being returned to the larger minority government, the conservative government Almost collapsed on the financial renewal that caused the simultaneous crisisPolitical calculations that have begun huge government spending to stimulate the economy.

2019 Elections: Hindsight Important

However, the financial crisis has not affected all segments of society, emphasizing the fact that nothing has been seen on a pandemic scale since World War II.

After all, the 2019 election was very important.

read more: Justin Trudeau’s Political Retreat: Surprise for the World, Not Surprise for Canada

COVID-19 had not yet emerged, but the establishment of a liberal minority government led to a large public policy initiative in response to a pandemic and governmented the prime minister during the horrific public crisis that affected everything. Centered as the main spokesperson for. Canadian.

It will be years before we can assess the validity of Trudeau’s rhetoric regarding the importance of the 2021 election. No one has a crystal ball that predicts what the government will do in the next few years. But there is one thing for sure. This election is crucial to Trudeau’s political heritage.

Author: Alex Marland-Professor of Political Science, Memorial University of Newfoundland